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 History of High School Football in Alabama
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 Potential 2nd Round Upsets
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kodyaufan2
AHSFHS Moderator

305 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  11:44:46  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
After arguably one of the biggest upsets we've ever seen in the 1st round with Parker over Clay-Chalkville, what are some potential upsets in the 2nd round? I'll let you guys define "upset" for yourselves. To me, I'm only calling it an upset if there seems to be a pretty clear favorite in the game, regardless of if that favorite is the lower seed or road team.

7A
Every game has upset potential.

6A
Center Point at Hartselle--I actually have Center Point winning this one, but I know a lot of people have Hartselle making a deep run.

5A
This is a weird class this week, cause I'd say most of the higher seeded/home teams are underdogs in most people's minds, which kind of muddies the water as to which would actually be upsets.

Scottsboro at Leeds--At the moment I have Leeds winning, but Scottsboro appears to be playing their best ball right now.

4A
West Morgan at Cherokee County--I'm not really sure how good West Morgan are compared to the other top teams in 4A, which is exactly why I have this one on upset watch.

3A
Thomasville at Dadeville--I just don't think Dadeville's region was all that good.

Sylvania at Madison Academy--Piedmont made the rest of their region look a lot worse than they are. Sylvania is easily a top 6-8 team in 3A.

2A
Winston County vs Fyffe--I'm not expecting Winston County to win, but I think there's a good chance this will be the best team Fyffe has faced this year.

1A
Sweet Water at Elba--You can never count Sweet Water out.

Lynn vs Addison--I don't know if most people would consider a Lynn win an upset, but I would simply because of the difference in levels of success between the two programs. Addison is expected to be playing well into November every year. Lynn came out of nowhere this year and hasn't made it to the quarterfinals in over a decade.

TheMUBM
AHSFHS Moderator

826 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  12:05:30  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
I think most of these are really good ones to have on the radar. I have all the favorites winning, but I kind of think Sylvania will beat Madison Academy.
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mcslate
AHSFHS Forum Superstar

373 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  16:23:24  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
Keep an eye on the Oneonta vs. Priceville game. It's an 11-0 team vs a 9-1 team which doesn't sound like much of an upset but Priceville finished the season ranked #3 while Oneonta only received votes. Oneonta is coming off a dominant road win while Priceville was tied 28-28 at home with a Central-Florence team that snuck into the playoffs at the last minute.

Could Priceville have just overlooked the Wildcats? Possibly. But this is a program that has never made the 3rd round while Oneonta has a few state titles, a couple in these players' lifetimes.
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MHSTiger05
New Forum Member

12 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  16:52:35  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
In 1A ball keep a eye out on the game in Guin with Marion County vs Valley Head. Marion County doesn?t really have the hype behind them this year but they?re usually a pretty solid team. Long road trip for Valley Head as well
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dparker
Forum Admin

1554 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  18:38:26  Show Profile  Visit dparker's Homepage  Reply with Quote
The Power Ratings have Hartselle as a 16 point favorite but I agree Center Point has been great in a few games this year not so good in others.

I also have Cherokee County as a one point favorite over West Morgan.

Dadeville by 11 over Thomasville. Thomasville is another team that has looked very good at times.

I am also not sure how good Madison Academy is right now. Lost their first two games but they seem to be getting stronger as the season has gone on. They are favored by 12 over Sylvania.

I think Fyffe has found it's stride and will roll to Auburn now. Favored by 25 over Winston County. Sadly, for my Winston County friends, I think they cover that.

I also favor Sweet Water over Elba by four. I had to look at that one twice when I saw it pop up on my screen. I went back and Elba has really not played anyone since Brantley early in the year. They are winning big but just not much opposition lately to tell how good they really are right now.

We favor Addison over Lynn by 6 but I can see that one going either way too.

Thanks guys.




David Parker
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WinstonCountyGrad
AHSFHS Moderator

173 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  21:29:04  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
The Fyffe/WC game shouldn?t be close. But I do think the game is intriguing. I went to the Cleveland/WC game and have never witnessed a more complete game by 2-A team. Winston never punted and scored every time they had the ball except the last series when the backups were in. The defense held them scoreless until the 4th quarter. They are primarily a running team but the had over 250 yards passing.
Fyffe is a completely different opponent so I am curious about how Winston County does. I hope it doesn?t get ugly for them

___________________________________________

Proud native of the "Free State of Winston"
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GiglnTiger
AHSFHS Forum Superstar

451 Posts

Posted - 11/07/2022 :  21:55:22  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
The whole issue with the majority of the teams that have played Dadeville is this? they hang around until the fourth Qtr and Dadeville?s depth takes over in the 4th Qtr.. Dadeville loses next week against St. James.

The game I?m liking is? Jacksonville over Catholic Montgomery. Sounds like a long shot but I look at two things. 1. Outside of Andalusia, who has CM played? 2. CM hasn?t played a full game all year it looks like. If Jacksonville can hang around and can get into the fourth Qtr. in a close game with CM, will CM be in uncharted water?

Will Jacksonville stop CM? Probably not. Can J-Ville put up the points? Most definitely. Lastly, J-Ville has played a tougher schedule by the looks of it and has the added benefit of hosting CM.

I took CM to win it all, but I?m rooting for the Eagles to pull the upset this week.

Jeremy Wortham

_____________

Randolph County Tigers

2003 Class 2A State Champions

2017 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1998 Class 3A State Runner-Ups,
1984 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1979 Class 2A State Runner-Ups
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kodyaufan2
AHSFHS Moderator

305 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  06:40:55  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by GiglnTiger

The whole issue with the majority of the teams that have played Dadeville is this? they hang around until the fourth Qtr and Dadeville?s depth takes over in the 4th Qtr.. Dadeville loses next week against St. James.

The game I?m liking is? Jacksonville over Catholic Montgomery. Sounds like a long shot but I look at two things. 1. Outside of Andalusia, who has CM played? 2. CM hasn?t played a full game all year it looks like. If Jacksonville can hang around and can get into the fourth Qtr. in a close game with CM, will CM be in uncharted water?

Will Jacksonville stop CM? Probably not. Can J-Ville put up the points? Most definitely. Lastly, J-Ville has played a tougher schedule by the looks of it and has the added benefit of hosting CM.

I took CM to win it all, but I?m rooting for the Eagles to pull the upset this week.

Jeremy Wortham

_____________

Randolph County Tigers

2003 Class 2A State Champions

2017 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1998 Class 3A State Runner-Ups,
1984 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1979 Class 2A State Runner-Ups



That's my question about Catholic too. When they find themselves in a close game in the 4th quarter, will they know how to respond?

I don't know that Jacksonville will ever really have the ball in the 4th with a chance to take the lead, but Handley and Anniston are good enough that one of them likely will, and Catholic will have to be able to answer.
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kodyaufan2
AHSFHS Moderator

305 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  06:45:37  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by WinstonCountyGrad

The Fyffe/WC game shouldn?t be close. But I do think the game is intriguing. I went to the Cleveland/WC game and have never witnessed a more complete game by 2-A team. Winston never punted and scored every time they had the ball except the last series when the backups were in. The defense held them scoreless until the 4th quarter. They are primarily a running team but the had over 250 yards passing.
Fyffe is a completely different opponent so I am curious about how Winston County does. I hope it doesn?t get ugly for them

___________________________________________

Proud native of the "Free State of Winston"



I don't really think it will be close at the end, but I could definitely see it being a close 21-14 type of game at halftime. And that's really about the best you can hope for against Fyffe.

One thing you said that I think really helps Winston Co is that they threw for 250 yards as a run-heavy team. At the very least, that means Fyffe has to start the game respecting the pass and can't just load the box. That should give Winston Co at least a chance to move the ball early.
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GiglnTiger
AHSFHS Forum Superstar

451 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  07:33:36  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
Marion County over Valley Head (I think Valley Head is overrated.)

4A

Jacksonville over Catholic Montgomery (Jacksonville has played consistently in tougher games.)

Oneonta over Priceville

Jeremy Wortham

_____________

Randolph County Tigers

2003 Class 2A State Champions

2017 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1998 Class 3A State Runner-Ups,
1984 Class 3A State Runner-Ups, 1979 Class 2A State Runner-Ups
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TheMUBM
AHSFHS Moderator

826 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  08:22:22  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by mcslate

Keep an eye on the Oneonta vs. Priceville game. It's an 11-0 team vs a 9-1 team which doesn't sound like much of an upset but Priceville finished the season ranked #3 while Oneonta only received votes. Oneonta is coming off a dominant road win while Priceville was tied 28-28 at home with a Central-Florence team that snuck into the playoffs at the last minute.

Could Priceville have just overlooked the Wildcats? Possibly. But this is a program that has never made the 3rd round while Oneonta has a few state titles, a couple in these players' lifetimes.



Priceville is an interesting one. In my head, which is often incorrect, if I was setting a line, I would have Oneonta as the favorite.
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kodyaufan2
AHSFHS Moderator

305 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  08:33:33  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by TheMUBM

quote:
Originally posted by mcslate

Keep an eye on the Oneonta vs. Priceville game. It's an 11-0 team vs a 9-1 team which doesn't sound like much of an upset but Priceville finished the season ranked #3 while Oneonta only received votes. Oneonta is coming off a dominant road win while Priceville was tied 28-28 at home with a Central-Florence team that snuck into the playoffs at the last minute.

Could Priceville have just overlooked the Wildcats? Possibly. But this is a program that has never made the 3rd round while Oneonta has a few state titles, a couple in these players' lifetimes.



Priceville is an interesting one. In my head, which is often incorrect, if I was setting a line, I would have Oneonta as the favorite.



I would as well, which is why I didn't include it in my original post.

I also don't know that Marion County over Valley Head would be that big of an upset. I would pick Marion County to win that one right now.
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Sloth Nationzz
AHSFHS Moderator

325 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  09:50:46  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
My Upset Picks or Games to look out for

7A: Hoover vs Hewitt. Always a great game between these two

6A: Parker over Muscle Shoals. They did it last week, not gonna doubt them again although I think Shoals wins

5A: Charles Henderson over Tallassee. Not much of an upset, but I am very high on Charles Henderson.

4A: Jacksonville vs Catholic Montgomery. Jacksonville does have a much better schedule and I believe has the talent to match. They also host so that helps, but still think Catholic wins closer than any game before.

3A: Thomasville over Dadeville and Trinity over Mobile Christian. I think both Thomasville and Dadeville are not that great. I think Trinity will go beat Mobile Christian. Trinity hasn't lost a game under their coach outside of a team from the Montgomery area. Have not lost a game outside the Montgomery area since 2019, before he arrived.

2A: Ariton over Highland Home. I think the purple cats are gonna send Highland Home, home. I think Highland Home's region wasn't as great as thought.

1A: Sweet Water vs Elba. If Elba wants to prove their worth as a title contender, they must beat Sweet Water.
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TheMUBM
AHSFHS Moderator

826 Posts

Posted - 11/08/2022 :  10:33:46  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
Just going by the ASWA rankings, here are my upsets for the second round.

7A
Hewitt Trussville over Hoover (has to happen sometime)

6A
Decatur over Gardendale

5A
Central Clay over Gulf Shores

4A
Oneonta over Priceville
Etowah over Deshler

3A
Alabama Christian over Pike County

2A
Tuscaloosa Academy over Lexington
Highland Home over Ariton

1A
Addison over Lynn
Brantley over Linden


Edited by - TheMUBM on 11/08/2022 12:03:03
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Fat_Coach
Forum Member<

57 Posts

Posted - 11/09/2022 :  11:41:57  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
I think VHHS is "feeling it," and has a shot to beat Thompson. Should be a GREAT game, either way.
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Fat_Coach
Forum Member<

57 Posts

Posted - 11/11/2022 :  15:51:59  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Fat_Coach

I think VHHS is "feeling it," and has a shot to beat Thompson. Should be a GREAT game, either way.



(using the computer predictions as favorite/underdog)

Not really confident about any of these:

7A: Above
6A: Theodore over Hueytown
5A: None. Perhaps: Moody over Arab
4A: Miller over Handley
3A: None. Perhaps: Thomasville
2A: Clarke County over Vincent
1A: Elba over Sweetwater
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WinstonCountyGrad
AHSFHS Moderator

173 Posts

Posted - 11/11/2022 :  20:17:58  Show Profile  Reply with Quote
No upset at Winston County. Fyffe leading 28-6 at the half.

___________________________________________

Proud native of the "Free State of Winston"
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