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AHSFHS Article Series

The best of the best in Alabama High
School Football over the past 100 seasons.

2022 Weekly Predictions

            Each week we will let you know how the Computer did and how many favorites won according to the AHSFHS Power Ratings. The Power Ratings are based upon past performance early in the season and will better reflect a team's strength as the football season progresses.

            Last week the AHSFHS.org Power Ratings had a record of 128-25 (83.7%) predicting the outcome of games. Fifteen of the games the computer missed were contests where the loser was favored by less than six points.

           The biggest upset was John Carroll defeating Maplesville after entering the game as a 17 point underdog. Games with such a difference in classifications are difficult to predict. Others included Cedar Bluff (+14) beating Donoho 34-0, Ranburne (+14) beating Randolph County and Athens (+13) defeating Russellville 32-31.

           Each week now the predicting will get tougher as teams are more evenly matched as each round of the playoffs progress. We do have a few upset predictions where fourth seeded teams are favored over number one seeded teams. Dothan High is favored by 6 over Foley. Vestavia Hills (+14) over Austin and Pike County (+1) over Excel. I do believe regions two and three could sweep 7A.

           Remember that teams are rewarded for performing better than expected. So a team from a lower classification losing to a team from a higher one will not be punished as much as a team losing to a team they are suppose to beat. Basically that means a team will move up by beating a team they are favored to beat by more than the predicted point spread. Another team will move up even if they lose, if they lose by less than the predicted spread.


Weekly Predictions (Select Week to View)

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First Round Playoff Predictions

(Team listed first is favorite)

Teams in BOLD are lower seed favorites

AISA-AAA

Morgan Academy vs. Autauga Academy -12

Valiant Cross Academy at Monroe Academy -5

AISA-AA

Banks Academy at Edgewood Academy -5

Chambers Academy vs. Escambia Academy -26

Clarke Prep vs. Macon-East Academy -7

Patrician Academy vs. Abbeville Christian -42

AISA-A

Crenshaw Christian vs. Wilcox Academy -16

Jackson Academy vs. Lakeside -40

Lowndes Academy vs. Snook Christian -45

Southern Academy at South Choctaw Academy -6

AISA-8 Man

North River Christian vs. Cornerstone Christian -2

Southern Prep Academy vs. Meadowview Christian -28

Auburn vs. Fairhope -21

Central Phenix City vs. Mary Montgomery -24

Dothan High at Foley -6

Enterprise at Baker -13

Hewitt-Trussville at Florence -0

Hoover vs. Bob Jones -20

Thompson vs. Huntsville -23

Vestavia Hills at Austin -14

Carver Montgomery vs. St. Pauls -6

Center Point vs. Jackson-Olin -23

Clay-Chalkville vs. Parker -25

Decatur at Fort Payne -2

Gadsden City vs. Cullman -4

Gardendale vs. Oxford -13

Hartselle vs. Buckhorn -37

Hillcrest Tuscaloosa vs. Calera -22

Homewood vs. McAdory -5

Hueytown vs. Benjamin Russell -11

Mountain Brook vs. Pinson Valley -18

Muscle Shoals vs. Hazel Green -37

Northridge at Pelham -6

Saraland vs. Wetumpka -23

Spanish Fort at Pike Road -3

Theodore vs. Sidney Lanier -26

Arab vs. East Limestone -28

Beauregard vs. Marbury -19

Central Clay County vs. Holtville -32

Charles Henderson vs. Williamson -14

Demopolis vs. Elmore County -29

Faith Academy at Eufaula -15

Gulf Shores vs. Carroll -21

Guntersville at Fairview -11

Leeds vs. Fairfield -18

Moody vs. Jasper -17

Pleasant Grove vs. Alexandria -27

Ramsay vs. Southside Gadsden -26

Russellville vs. Boaz -29

Scottsboro vs. Brewer -28

Tallassee at Selma 0

UMS-Wright vs. Headland -26

American Christian vs. Munford -16

Andalusia vs. Jackson -8

Anniston vs. Sipsey Valley -35

B.T. Washington at Orange Beach -9

Bibb County vs. Jacksonville -9

Catholic Montgomery vs. Bayside Academy -47

Cherokee County vs. Corner -13

Deshler vs. Madison County -29

Dora vs. Good Hope -18

Etowah vs. Northside -14

Handley vs. West Blocton -17

Oneonta at Haleyville -1

Priceville vs. Central Florence -30

Randolph vs. Rogers -15

T.R. Miller vs. Montgomery Academy -16

West Morgan vs. Westminster Christian -24

Alabama Christian at Randolph County -19

Dadeville vs. Southside Selma -27

Gordo vs. Ohatchee -35

Houston Academy vs. Mobile Christian -6

J.B. Pennington vs. Colbert County -11

Lauderdale County vs. Vinemont -16

Madison Academy vs. Phil Campbell -31

Mars Hill vs. Danville -65

Opp vs. W.S. Neal -11

Piedmont vs. Oakman -33

Pike County at Excel -1

St. James vs. Walter Wellborn -19

Sylvania vs. Fayette County -7

Thomasville vs. Straughn -6

Trinity vs. Saks -5

Winfield vs. Geraldine -23

Aliceville vs. West End Walnut Grove -25

Ariton vs. Chickasaw -27

B.B. Comer vs. Lanett -8

Clarke County vs. Cottonwood -11

Cleveland vs. Winston County -4

Falkville vs. Collinsville -6

Fyffe vs. Red Bay -38

G.W. Long vs. St. Lukes -11

Hatton at Pisgah -1

Highland Home vs. Isabella -4

Lexington vs. North Sand Mountain -29

Reeltown vs. Thorsby -27

Southeastern vs. Lamar County -16

Tuscaloosa Academy vs. Locust Fork -8

Vincent vs. Luverne -20

Wicksburg at J.U. Blacksher -6

Addison vs. Appalachian -30

Brantley vs. Choctaw County -32

Coosa Christian vs. Hackleburg -9

Elba vs. Southern Choctaw -40

Leroy vs. Georgiana -21

Linden vs. Autaugaville -23

Loachapoka vs. Keith -8

Lynn vs. Donoho -29

Maplesville vs. R.C. Hatch -36

Meek vs. Cedar Bluff -40

Millry vs. Florala -21

Pickens County vs. Wadley -12

Ragland vs. Marion County -5

Spring Garden vs. South Lamar -29

Sweet Water vs. Verbena -16

Valley Head vs. Phillips Bear Creek -17

Great Moments in Alabama High School Football History

Hazlewood won five consecutive state championships from 1988-1992. During this span the Golden Bears won 29 playoff games in a row.